When Will Interest Rates Go Back Down

A: Many Fed watchers expect the Fed to lower interest rates in mid 2023 under the assumption that inflation falls back to the Fed’s 2% target. The direction interest rates will move depends on 2 things: 1) how persistent inflation is over the next 6-9 months and 2) if we are in a full blown recession by mid 2023. If inflation is lower, rates are likely to go down and if we are in a full blown recession in mid 2023, the Fed will likely lower rates. Thanks for your question, Bill. 

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